How serious will Cuomo’s general election run be?
16
Ṁ1293Nov 4
89%
Cuomo appears on ballot
50%
Cuomo announces an official bid
50%
Cuomo hosts a campaign rally
48%
Cuomo and allies spend >$25M
45%
Cuomo appears in a debate
41%
Cuomo rides the subway
41%
Cuomo releases another 15+ minute campaign video
38%
Cuomo attends a mayoral forum
33%
Cuomo eats B.E.C. (bacon optional) on camera
33%
Cuomo visits a mosque
2025 Mayor Race. Based on if these events happen after market publication date and before or on Election Day November 4, 2025
Official bid: run as non-Democrat as per this Polymarket
>$25m: "spend at least $25 million on the campaign (including PACs)" (suggested by @cthor)
Mosque and mayoral forum ideas stolen from: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/27/nyregion/cuomo-mayor-campaign.html
Clarification: these will resolve independently of each other. e.g. if he takes himself off the ballot but still rides the subway, I will count that as riding the subway! (as an effort to get write-in votes?). However the campaign rally would have to be for himself, not for a potential other candidate he is endorsing.
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