Will the State of Palestine still exist on Jan 1, 2030?
Basic
4
Ṁ5582030
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on whether the wikipedia page "State of Palestine" uses the past tense, as in "The State of Palestine was..." instead of the current "The State of Palestine is..."
I will also use common sense to avoid vandalism etc and to resolve the question of whether it still exists but the present/past tense is the main criteria by which I will judge the question in order to avoid controversy.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?
44% chance
Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
23% chance
Will the US officially recognize the sovereignty of the State of Palestine by 2030?
29% chance
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2029?
43% chance
Will the current Israel-Palestine conflict end in 2024?
8% chance
Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035?
25% chance
Will Hamas continue to exist as a military organization in Israel Palestine through 2030?
37% chance
Will Israel still exist in 2100?
81% chance
Will a new state be recognised by the UN anywhere in Palestine before the end of 2024?
8% chance
On the 1 Jan 2025 Will the population of the Gaza strip be reduced to 80% or less than it was on 1 Jan 2023
12% chance