On which airline will the next major aviation disaster occur? | Manifold

On which airline will the next major aviation disaster occur?

Plus

19

Ṁ1258

2100

3%

Delta Air Lines

4%

Malaysia Airlines

3%

Southwest Airlines

1.7%

American Airlines

2%

United Airlines

3%

China Southern Airlines

4%

Lufthansa Group

22%

Aeroflot (Russian airlines)

4%

Frontier airlines

53%

Other

Resolves 100% to whichever airline has the next airline disaster with more than 200 fatalities (as defined by this wikipedia article).

I will ignore vandalism. If there is uncertainty about numbers of causalities I will wait to resolve until we know more

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#Airline Industry

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1,000

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3.00

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Just realized that it might have been good to make these independent as multiple airlines can be part of the same disaster. If two (or more) airlines have planes as part of the disaster then it resolves equally to both

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Will there be a second civil aviation airport collision with fatalities in 2024?

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Which of these disasters will strike the world next?

Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?

Will any minority pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?

Will a major airliner accident happen in the US, physically injuring more than 25 people within 2024?

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