What Event Will Happen First: Israel/Hamas Ceasefire, Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire, Trump Re-Elected, Biden Re-elected
This market only resolves 1 answer
Resolves YES To The Event That Occurs First
To Meet Re-Election:
Biden must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.
Trump must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.
To Meet Bilateral Ceasefire:
Bi-lateral = Must Be Between Israel & Hamas or Russia & Ukraine
Lasting = Minimum 10 Calendar Days
Ceasefire = A call to terminate all hostilities
Signed = Must Be An Agreement Signed By Leader(s) Of Minimum 1 Leader From Israel and 1 Leader From Hamas, May Include Negotiated Terms Between The Parties Through Third Party Nations And/Or Special Councils/Government Agencies.
MARKET EXTENDS UNTIL CONDITIONS MET
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1,000
3.00From CNN's Sam Fossum
Israel said to agree in principle to Lebanon ceasefire offer, though some issues remain
(Its Not Hamas, But Shows A Ceasefire May Be Possible)
@DistinctlySkeptical Does this require inauguration? So that wouldn’t be until Jan 20, 2025
It's unclear how Sinwar's apparent killing could impact hostage negotiations, officials say
From CNN's Eugenia Yosef and Jeremy Diamond
@AlphaAbulikim I sold my 11,000 position and brought it to 9%. Can't keep waiting for it to resolve, had to get my mana out.
Russia/Ukraine was wildly undervalued since it uses two national entities but Israel/Hamas has one national entity and one specific political party that may be destroyed or disempowered. If Trump loses and Hamas is disempowered, Russia/Ukraine will resolve Yes. Not an absurd scenario!