Which novelette will win a Hugo award in 2025
Which novelette will win a Hugo award in 2025
1
Ṁ25Aug 15
16%
“The Brotherhood of Montague St. Video” by Thomas Ha (Clarkesworld, May 2024)
16%
“By Salt, By Sea, By Light of Stars” by Premee Mohamed (Strange Horizons, Fund Drive 2024)
16%
“The Four Sisters Overlooking the Sea” by Naomi Kritzer (Asimov’s, September/October 2024)
22%
“Lake of Souls” by Ann Leckie in Lake of Souls (Orbit)
16%
“Loneliness Universe” by Eugenia Triantafyllou (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 58)
16%
“Signs of Life” by Sarah Pinsker (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 59)
The Hugo awards began with six nominees per category. Science fiction and fantasy books are both eligible to win. Winner will be announced at Seattle worldcon in August.
Here's a Google Sheet of Eligible Works
You can also check out this FAQ about the Hugos
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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