Will Trump leave United States to avoid prosecution before 2030?
Plus
14
Ṁ3742029
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.
They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
23% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
18% chance
Will Donald Trump flee the United States before January 20, 2025?
3% chance
If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
70% chance
If Trump loses the 2024 election and is able to leave the country and live abroad, will he do so by end of 2026?
23% chance
Where will Donald Trump be in 2030?
Will Donald Trump be alive to see 2030?
59% chance
Will anybody in the Trump family (except Donald) go to prison before 2030?
Will Trump attempt to flee the US in 2024 ?
3% chance
Before 2030, will Trump spend 365 consecutive days outside the US?
20% chance