NFL Playoffs Division Makeup as Expected?
83%
AFC + NFC
91%
AFC (2 West, 2 East, 2 South, 1 North)
91%
NFC (3 West, 2 North, 1 East, 1 East)

  • Update 2025-12-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves YES if the NFL playoff composition matches the expected divisions as outlined below:

NFC Wild Cards expected:

  • All 3 NFC West teams: SEA, LAR, SF

  • 2 NFC North teams: GB, CHI or DET

  • 1 NFC South: TB or CAR

  • 1 NFC East: PHI or DAL

AFC Wild Cards expected:

  • LAC, HOU, and BUF

This market is essentially parlaying the 8 markets linked in the creator's comment, testing whether the playoff composition that seemed "set in stone" with ~4 weeks left actually materializes.

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what

@StopPunting

It’s essentially parlaying the 8 markets I had here

https://manifold.markets/ChinmayTheMathGuy/nfl-playoff-locks-markets-to-make-p?r=Q2hpbm1heVRoZU1hdGhHdXk

or 4 at a time

Essentially, the motivation for creating the market is since the composition of the playoffs (more specifically the 3 wild cards from each conference) seemed almost set in stone with ~4 weeks left

so the market was made to test the conventional wisdom that

we expect the playoffs to consist of

All 3 NFC West teams: SEA, LAR, SF

2 NFC North teams: GB, CHI or DET

1 NFC south: TB or CAR

1 NFC East: PHI or DAL

and likewise for the AFC Wild Cards expected to be LAC, HOU, and BUF

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