Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
52
Ṁ9433
2025
13%
chance

This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan. If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ2 NO

Big Trouble in Little China?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules