Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
Plus
40
Ṁ11112031
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Edit: Includes the year 2030. Modified to say "end of 2030".
Nov 20, 7:28pm: Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by 2030? → Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@AndrewG The subject needs to self-identify as EA, so if they say they aren't actually an EA that wouldn't count.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the US Congress by January 2025?
18% chance
Will effective altruism be "winning" over effective accelerationism at the end of 2024?
56% chance
Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the UK Parliament by January 2025?
32% chance
Will I have a positive view of effective altruism on December 31, 2024?
17% chance
Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?
33% chance
Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?
75% chance
Will there be a US president who identifies as female by end of 2035?
62% chance
Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
66% chance
Will any head of state/government publicly mention the Effective Altruism movement in 2024?
10% chance
Will Mr. Beast self-identify as an effective altruist by end of 2030?
13% chance