If Trump wins, will we have permanent Daylight Savings Time?
Basic
12
Ṁ455
2026
31%
chance

There is currently a bill stuck in committees in Congress that would make Daylight Savings Time permanent.

When it passed unanimously through the house in 2022, health advocates pointed out that it would be healthier to abolish Daylight Savings Time than to make it permanent.

Resolved in time for 2026 midterm elections.

Update 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.

Related:

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The creator has identified ambiguity in whether this resolves based on:

  • Abolishing daylight savings time completely

  • Making daylight savings time permanent (year-round)

The creator plans to change the title to clarify it refers to permanent daylight savings time. If there are objections, the market will resolve NA and be recreated with clearer criteria.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

@traders i just realized how ambiguous the title of this question is, since the proposal that passed the Senate would make daylight savings time permanent, not abolish it.

Please weigh in if you bet on this question assuming it asks:

  • Will daylight savings be abolished OR

  • Will daylight savings be made permanent

Since the description hasn’t changed, if no one objects I’ll change the title to “If Trump wins, will we have permanent daylight savings?”

If there are objections, I’ll NA this question and create a new clearer one.

@BlueDragon I came across this market with the gut intuition that if the time was locked into a permanent "setting" year-round, then that would count as YES. However, after doing a quick study-up and learning the terminology of things, I am now hesitant to place a trade.

Disclaimer: I hold zero shares on either side at time of posting and am trying to figure out how to interpret similar markets on this subject.

@traders unless anyone has a compelling objection I’ll edit this to say “a democrat” instead of “Biden” tomorrow 7/23/2024.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules