📢✊ In what countries will mass public protests start in 2025?

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Ṁ8006

Apr 7

99%

Serbia

98.5%

Greece

92%

United States

90%

France

75%

Israel

63%

Pakistan

61%

Romania

45%

India

45%

South Korea

43%

Mexico

36%

35%

Egypt

34%

Poland

33%

Iran

31%

Philippines

29%

Canada

24%

Italy

24%

Bangladesh

24%

Bolivia

21%

Cuba

Resolved monthly throughout 2025 based on updates to the Carnegie Endowment Protest Tracker:

https://carnegieendowment.org/features/global-protest-tracker?lang=en

It’s impossible to predict exactly when the tracker will be updated, so this market may close early or be extended a few times mid month.

Resolves YES if there is a protest of >10,000 participants. NO if the country makes it to the end of 2025 with no protests that large.

Once resolved, countries can’t be re-added until the active protest is finished (too confusing otherwise). Countries only. Non-countries resolved as NA.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ838 YES

Resolved YES for February based on Mar 5 updates:

Belgium

Pension reform protest

>60,000

No other protests exceeded 10,000 participants, according to Carnegie.

bought Ṁ576 YES

Will a country resolve YES even if the protest is part of a commemoration of a date for 1 day only and its not actually against government?

@PoliticalEconomyPK if it meets the resolution criteria

Resolved yes for JANUARY 2025 based on February 10 update:

Slovakia <100,000

Germany 2.4 million (!!!)

Also would have resolved yes:

Australia

Slovakia resolves YES. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/slovaks-protest-second-time-two-weeks-against-pm-fico-2025-02-07/

Serbia resolves YES , but of course only when it is mentioned on the tracker

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Protest market for 2025 up! First resolution will be mid February. End of year special! Just 25M to add countries.

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