Will a mass driver be constructed on the Moon before 2060?
Will a mass driver be constructed on the Moon before 2060?
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The mass driver is a proposed structure designed to accelerate payloads to high speeds, enabling them to be launched into space more efficiently. Constructing a mass driver on the Moon could offer numerous benefits for future space infrastructure. It has the potential to reduce the cost of sending spacecraft propellant to space-based depots and pave the way for industrializing the Moon, making lunar mining a viable option.
Will we see this innovative technology become a reality on the lunar surface by the 60s?
The same question with longer timeframe:
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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