Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
Basic
11
Ṁ196Mar 1
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve yes, if the FDP is part of the next German parliament. The election is currently set for 23th February 2025, but the market will settle to the result of the earliest federal election of the Bundestag after the 19th November (I.e. the date of the election does not influence the result).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@lxgr I will resolve it by the result of the next election. If it gets moved earlier or later, we will use the results of the first federal election starting from now. The date does not influence the result of the market.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
65% chance
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
34% chance
Which of these parties will get seats in the German Bundestag after the next federal election?
Will die Linke win any seats in the next German federal election?
27% chance
Which parties will form the next German federal government?
Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?
81% chance
What will be the results of the next German federal election?
Which parties will be part of the next ruling coalition in Germany
Which parties will surmount the five percent hurdle at the next German federal election?
Will the right-wing party AfD participate in a state-level government in Germany for the first time in 2024?
4% chance