How many people will attend LessOnline 2025?
16
Ṁ4932
May 31

Invalid contract

LessOnline is a weekend conference in Berkeley, California from Friday May 30th to Sunday June 1st, celebrating truthseeking and blogging, where writers and readers from the internet can come and talk in person.

Market resolves based on the total number of attendees, guests of honor, and children at LessOnline 2025. This will be based on the check-in at the front gate.

If there is no LessOnline, market resolves to "Below 200".

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ50 ???

Update: Last night LessOnline crossed 300 tickets sold.

(Sold! Counting ~50 volunteer tickets, but not counting free tickets to bloggers, staff, etc.)

bought Ṁ500 ???

did you know you can change reality by buying yes on markets?

It also helps to have noise-traders so that trading volume increases. Improves accuracy. So, thanks for your donation 😉

To be clear, my position is that it would be a mistake to have 900 people at Lighthaven at the same time, and people would be having a bad experience from overcrowding, so I am not likely to try to straightforwardly sell that many tickets. My guess is like 750 is pushing it.

@BenPace but buying YES makes NO shares cheaper, so it creates an incentive for somebody who can influence the outcome to buy cheap NO and make the market resolve that way, thus collecting sweet profit. So it seems like @Devansh also doesn't want 900 people to attend (or am I missing another layer to a joke or something)?

bought Ṁ50 ???

Data: so far we have sold ~100 tickets, plus confirmed ~30 free tickets for authors.

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