
Similar to previous question: 
https://manifold.markets/Bebop/will-i-get-to-10000month-by-mid-apr
20k version of this question: 
https://manifold.markets/Bebop/will-i-achieve-20000-usdmonth-by-th
If you bet either YES or NO please let me know about your reasoning in the comments (This helps me succeed and I am also curious).
If you want more info added, ask in the comments as well, if I am ok with sharing it, I will add it to the description.
To make it more fun, and since I have to believe in myself, I will always buy YES especially when it's low, BUT I will only allow myself to sell shares if the liquidity reaches $5000+ as a way to stabilize the market.
In the previous question I invested more than 50% of my net worth, and even though I lost it all, i honestly resolved the question:

Background/Context
I've been self-employed for the last 3.5 years in the YouTube space as my own agency with my friends and a Youtube Strategist with 50M+ views. I've been learning about business for a long time.
I've done high school, but have decided to not go to university.
During that time my personal highest earning month was around $3,000.
The highest that the agency itself earned was around $6,000.
My highest income month from strategy work etc was ~$6,000
Right now I have around 2,500 followers on Twitter.
My current income sources:
(At the time market was opened)
- Agency client (been with him for 2 years now): consistent minimum $125/mo. On good months $300. - I believe this will increase over time as we're going to be posting more videos and we're venturing into a new niche that has more potential right now. 
- However he may not be my main time priority 
 
- Consultation client: $2,400 but based on packages rather than monthly - Income here is inconsistent as it depends on when he wants to do calls, therefore I can't control how frequently I get paid. 
- Right now it's about every ~2 months, Likely will be increased as we're slowing getting the production cycle more consistent 
 
My plan
My actual mid-term goal (6-9 months) is to establish myself as one of the biggest authorities in the niche, I plan to do so by doing a programme/challenge that hasn't been ever done before.
To do so, I will need to:
- Learn even more about how to start, manage, automate and grow YT channels 
- Have at least ~5 of my own YT channels 
- Have at least 5k/mo to invest into this and other channels 
To create those ~5 channels I will also need at least 2k-4k/mo to invest into starting them (editors, thumbnail designers etc) and other learning opportunities (coaches etc)
This makes cash ($15k or 4-5k/mo) my shorter-term goal (3-6 months), meanwhile learning is also a priority.
- First I will try to partner with an expert who already does this, to manage channels he will invest in. (He said he'll get back to me in January) - This will be most ideal if he accepts, since I get to both earn and learn 
 
- Alternatively, I will use my existing income sources + additional freelancing that I am specialized in (thumbnail concept ideas etc), for $200-$250 per video. - I will first reach out to 2-3 people to do it for free, then use them as case studies to post on my Twitter, from there I will find more and more clients. 
- This has the potential of up to around 5k/mo if i get enough regular clients and depending on my time investment 
 
- If either 1. or 2. are successful, OR i simply save up from my existing income (my monthly expenses are $125/mo), I will start my own channels asap. 
 Each channel has the potential to earn anywhere from $1,000 up to $10,000+/month.
Updates
- 17/01/2025 
 1. I earned ~$3,400 in ~7 days
 2. Started my first automated/faceless channel
 a family member that I live with, started recently coughing very frequently (something like a COPD or chronic bronchitis) about 10 days ago, which really frustrated me because I couldn't properly focus or go to sleep (imagine loud coughs followed by other annoying sounds 10+ times a minute, almost every minute of the day).
 And so I set myself a goal of $4,000 income this month no matter what, so that I can move out (have to pay 6 months up front at least + $1,100 for other visa expenses)
 I threw away my sleep schedule so that I could wake up at night (when that person is asleep) and focus on my work, I pretty much-removed everything but work for those 10 days. Jumped on more opportunities and did more work for my main client, so I was able to almost meet my goal.
 Turns out I may need a lot less to move out but I still need to wait before I can as well.
 For this goal I also partnered with a creator to use their footage and fully run a channel with it, they get a % of the profit while doing nothing.
 to do this without initial capital I partnered with an editor i knew for a long time for a % split for him to edit the videos. So far already done 4 videos, 2 of which posted, cumulatively around 10k views (not bad for a start!)
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if:
- My total monthly pre-tax profit from all sources reaches or exceeds $10,000 for at least 2 consecutive months. 
- If I reach $10,000/mo in December only this also counts, but not if it's any other month. 
- If any 2 months average is $10k+/mo that also counts, as imo that also signifies the same. - i.e month 1 = $5k, month 2 = $15k 
 
I will post a screenshot of my bank statements for 2 relevant months IF I resolve YES (since I will only be buying YES).
I will count both the money still arriving and what has arrived in my account. 
I will not be counting revenue, only pre-tax profit