Will Israel annex part of Palestine by the end of 2025?
Will Israel annex part of Palestine by the end of 2025?
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17
Ṁ36952026
19%
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The market resolves YES if through some official channel, Israel proclaims its sovereignty over territory of Palestine hitherto outside its domain, before 2026.
Resolves NO on December 31st, 2025 otherwise.
See also:
Will Israel annex a part of Gaza by the end of 2025?7%
Will Israel annex a part of the West Bank by the end of 2025?12%
Will Israel annex part of Palestine by the end of 2025?19% (This market)
Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)?32%
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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