Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?
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If by December 31st, 2026, artificial blood is used to treat a patient, in a way that is safe and effective, this market resolves YES.
Artificial blood is non-human blood that can replace human blood for the purpose of blood transfusions.
See also:
Will scientists create artificial blood to be used on any patient by the end of 2024?NO
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2025?12%
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?19% (This one)
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2027?36%
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2028?50%
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Artificial blood is non-human blood that can replace human blood for the purpose of blood transfusions.
Does that sound reasonable? I suppose i hadn't defined it precisely in my head
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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