Will the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?
Will the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?
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Does "next" include Harris? Do they have to assume the presidency be during the term in which they were elected VP, or does any time in their life count?
@BTE In that case, does it include Harris' current term as vice president if she is re-elected as vice president? Suppose a Biden/Harris ticket wins, but Biden dies between election day (or the results being certified by congress) and inauguration. Does Harris assume the presidency as the "next person elected vice president" or as the current one?
predictedYES
@dph121 Interesting question! That would be interesting. What if is the person elected with Trump and he dies before inauguration oh man this is a cool edge case. I think in the case as you posed it there wouldn’t be an elected VP so the question would stay open until one is elected. Make sense?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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