Will China have true democracy in 2050?
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Consider China to have true democracy if is it classified under "Flawed democracy" or "Full democracy" under the Economist Democracy Index
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index
If the Economist Democracy Index is no longer available, resolve base on other reputable democracy classification source
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z7do1hhb6fE
The narrative is changing in BBC. And it may also affect the Economist in the future.
It is worth noting that the explanation of "full democracy" in the Economist may change before 2050. So the question will also take into account China's political influence in the future
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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