What would be true about the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News
Basic
6
Ṁ435Jan 1
76%
AI related
73%
LLM related
66%
Created by a Manifold Partner Creator (past or present partner)
44%
will be a MC market that allows people to add responses
34%
Created by Manifold Politics account
34%
Chatgpt related
29%
Created by Ammon Lam
27%
Created by Ammon Lam AND has at least 2 other similar questions written at the same time
27%
involves 'crossing the streams' (ie: will X before Y where they are both unrelated events)
24%
Created by a Manifold Staff
20%
will be about crypto
18%
Created by Mira
8%
will be about one piece
When a Manifold question got to #1 on Hacker News, I will use my judgement to decide how to resolve each answer. Since this is an unlinked market, multiple answers can be resolved to 100% at the same time.
See related bounty markets by SG:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
What will be the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News?
Ṁ25,001 bounty
When would we have the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News?
What would be true about the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post? (Reddit's daily top content)
When would we have the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post?
What will be the first Manifold question to get to the front page of Hacker News?
Ṁ0 bounty
Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?
46% chance
Will there be a day in 2024 with 1,000 questions created on Manifold?
4% chance
Will Manifold un-Sweepify more than 1 question in 2024?
12% chance
What will be the first Manifold question to get a score of 100+ on Reddit?
Ṁ0 bounty
Will Manifold *BAN* duplicate questions in 2024?
1% chance