IF in 2030, atmospheric CO2 is 435-440 ppm, what will be the global temperature anomaly in 2030?
Basic
5
Ṁ722030
1.2
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Annual CO2 level from https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/data.html will be taken as fact -- in 2021 this was 416.45 ppm.
Temperature anomaly (annual average) (base period 1951-80) from NASA Goddard GISTEMP (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt; stable link: https://www.co2.earth/global-warming-update) will be taken as fact -- in 2021 this was 0.84.
If atmospheric CO2 is not in this range in 2030, this market will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00
Related questions
Related questions
IF in 2030, atmospheric CO2 is 440-445 ppm, what will be the global temperature anomaly in 2030?
1.2
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 450 ppm in 2030?
34% chance
What will be the annual mean CO2 level in 2030?
438
Global temperature anomaly in 2050
1.9
What levels of atmospheric co2 will we reach by the end of 2025?
Atmospheric CO2 level in 2100
By 2050, how many degrees (C°) of global warming will there be relative to the 1851-1900 baseline?
Will global temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2030?
90% chance
Will the world pass 1.5 C average annual temperature by 2030?
91% chance
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 500 ppm in 2050?
34% chance