Open answer: How many electoral votes will Trump* win in 2024?
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55
Ṁ12k
Dec 21
99%
269 or more
99%
270 or more
99%
272
99%
303 or more
98.8%
233 or more
1%
330 or more

Feel free to add answers! I will interpret a bare number like "250" as "250 or more".

If Trump is not the Republican nominee, this question will be about the Republican presidential candidate instead.

Answers will be resolved based on the actual Electoral College votes, not electors' pledges. Unfaithful electors may impact the outcome.

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Every market <=312 should settle YES, the 266-270 market should settle NO.

@NicholasCharette73b6 We have to wait for the Electoral College to vote, since there could be unfaithful electors.

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