Will the ongoing civil unrest in Bangladesh be considered a civil war by the end of year?
Basic
14
Ṁ980Jan 1
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This July, Bangladeshi students have erupted in protest over the re-establishment of quotas in government jobs. In response, around ~1000 people have been killed in the past two weeks by the pro-quota Chhatra League and Bangladesh Police. Will this conflict be considered a civil war by the end of the year?
Resolves YES iff the New York Times and BBC News each have two articles spaced more than a week apart referring to it as a civil war.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will internal armed conflict in Myanmar end before 2030?
71% chance
Who will be the de facto leader of Bangladesh at the end of May 2025?
WIll there be a civil war in the UK before 2025?
2% chance
Will Myanmar's junta be overthrown by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?
22% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
19% chance
Will there be a civil war in Europe by the end of 2024
11% chance
Will the UK descend in to civil war before 2025?
1% chance
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
9% chance
Will There be a Civil War, Violent Revolution, or Insurgency in USA by 2030?
21% chance