Will a video game integrating a GPT reach >100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?
Will a video game integrating a GPT reach >100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?
Plus
30
Ṁ1569Dec 31
19%
chance
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1W
1M
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The market will resolve YES if a video game that has a GPT as part of their game mechanics reaches more than 100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024. The market will resolve NO otherwise.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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