[Metaculus] Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?
Basic
10
Ṁ4452030
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
The question resolves yes if:
The US Congress passes a law which classifies Ethereum as a security
A federal court decision states that Ethereum is a security
This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Supreme court declare that Cryptocurrencies are securities?
57% chance
Will Elizabeth Warren's Digital Asset Anti-Money Laundering Act be enacted / signed into law before Dec 31 2024?
25% chance
Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?
20% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025?
14% chance
Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2033?
36% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason before 2030?
29% chance
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by Jun 2029?
49% chance
[Metaculus] Will a major cyberattack/malware use LLMs in some important way before January 1st, 2025? [Ṁ1000 subsidy]
5% chance
Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $10,000 before the end of 2030?
61% chance
[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?
73% chance