[ACX 2024] Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?
Plus
108
Ṁ14kJan 2
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2024, OpenAI publicly acknowledges that a system or method it has explored is the rumored Q* (or Q-Star) and publishes (or has published in the past) a document (e.g., a blog post, paper, or video, but not a tweet) describing the system or method rumored to be Q*.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI Release a Chatbot Using the Q* Algorithm in 2024
25% chance
Will OpenAI officially mention Q* model before 1.1.2025?
18% chance
Is OpenAI's Q* real?
87% chance
Did the board of OpenAI recieve a letter about the Q* AI 'breakthrough'?
49% chance
Will OpenAI announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment in 2024?
19% chance
Does OpenAI's Q* 'breakthrough' represent a significant advance in AI capabilities?
84% chance
Will Q* (Q Star) be a significant breakthrough in AI/ML research or engineering?
92% chance
Will OpenAI release an LLM moderation tool in 2024?
67% chance
Will OpenAI Announce AI Robots in 2024?
9% chance
Will OpenAI release a technical report on a model designed for AI alignment research? (2024)
8% chance