Background The United States Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) processes Form N-400, Application for Naturalization, which is the primary form used by lawful permanent residents to apply for U.S. citizenship. While USCIS occasionally updates forms and procedures, a complete suspension of accepting new citizenship applications would be unprecedented in recent history.
Resolution Criteria
Market resolves YES if USCIS officially announces a complete suspension of accepting new N-400 naturalization applications for 30 or more consecutive days before January 2026
Temporary technical issues, website maintenance, or government shutdowns that don't officially suspend application acceptance do not count
Partial suspensions (e.g., only at certain field offices) do not count
The suspension must specifically prevent the acceptance of new applications (delays in processing existing applications do not count)
Resolution will be based on official USCIS announcements and policy changes as published on uscis.gov/newsroom
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and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00