When will the US men’s national team win its first world cup
When will the US men’s national team win its first world cup
Basic
4
Ṁ1922046
3%
2026
6%
2030
13%
2034
13%
2038
13%
2042
13%
2046
41%
Other includes all world cups after 2046, I’ll add them at some point should it be necessary
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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