Will a new Donald Trump affair be uncovered before March 1st, 2025?
Plus
41
Ṁ7327Mar 2
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on (perhaps baseless) recent speculation.
Has to be an extra-marital affair (i.e with someone who is not Melania Trump). Resolves to a consensus of credible sources. If there isn't any evidence by the deadline, resolves NO.
Examples of scenarios that would resolve YES:
Leaked text messages that clearly imply an affectionate relationship
Leaked images of PDA (i.e. kissing)
Not sufficient for YES:
Leaked images that are not PDA
Circumstantial evidence
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump do anything remotely surprising before 2025?
9% chance
Will Donald Trump, Jimmy Carter, and Alex Jones all be alive by January 1st, 2025?
92% chance
Will Donald Trump reveal national secrets at any point before Dec 31 2024?
13% chance
Will Donald Trump still be married by the end of 2025?
79% chance
Will Donald Trump be President of the United States on December 30th, 2025?
89% chance
Will Donald Trump be killed before 2025?
4% chance
Will Donald Trump be the President of the USA on December 31, 2025?
89% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive through inauguration day, January 20th, 2025?
92% chance
Will Donald Trump still be alive by the Ides of March 2025?
96% chance
Will Trump go to prison before 2025?
2% chance