Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030?
Basic
4
Ṁ195Jan 1
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves to yes on or before January 1st 2030 if a quantum computer equipped with the ability to perform quantum error correction and run 100 million gates is announced and nonzero 3rd party verification confirms it's existence. Additional requirements on computer performance are not under consideration apart from the announced ability to perform quantum error correction effectively.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
35% chance
Will there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?
69% chance
Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade
59% chance
Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?
68% chance
When will Quantum computing become viable?
2030
Will IBM produce a functional 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computing system by 2033?
26% chance
Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?
65% chance
Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
34% chance
Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?
25% chance
SHA-256 broken by quantum computer before 2030
43% chance