Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030? | Manifold

Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?

Plus

19

Ṁ855

2030

19%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

"non-test nuclear weapon" includes any delivery mechanism or actor. Accidental detonations count. Tactical nuclear weapons count.

"detonate" means there is a nuclear explosion.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

+27% 1d36% chance

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?

+23% 1d59% chance

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?

Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?

Related questions

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules