Will an F-22 Raptor shoot down a manned military aircraft before 2030?
Basic
4
Ṁ752029
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
F-22s have performed combat sorties and have bombed targets in Syria and elsewhere. They have also shot down an alleged Chinese spy balloon and some other high-altitude objects. There is, as far as I can tell, not a confirmed kill of a manned military aircraft from this type.
The question will resolve to Yes if a F-22 shoots down a manned figher, bomber, transport or other military aircraft from the time of posting this question and before January 1st, 2030. Helicopters count as valid kills fo. Accidental kills also count, just as long as they don't involve aircraft collision. The target must be in the air, not on the ground or carrier deck.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an Ukrainian F-16 score an air-to-air kill of a manned Russian aircraft in 2024?
19% chance
Will Russia shoot down a manned NATO military aircraft before 2025?
7% chance
Will a fully autonomous AI-powered US military drone kill a human being without express human direction before 2025?
10% chance
Will a civilian be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence pilot an aircraft with human passengers completely autonomously before 2030?
67% chance
Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
61% chance
Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?
74% chance
Will an Israeli fighter jet get shot down over another country in 2024?
12% chance
Will a NATO country shoot down a Russian military asset by end of 2024?
14% chance
Will the US bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
40% chance