How much fWAR will Shohei Ohtani accumulate in the 2025 MLB regular season?

Ṁ704

Oct 2

97%

At least 0.0 (the minimum to not be considered worse than a replacement level player)

97%

At least 1.1 (what he got from Pit WAR alone in 2018)

96%

At least 1.6 (what he got in 2019)

87%

At least 2.4 (what he got from Pit WAR alone in 2023)

86%

At least 2.7 (what he got from Bat WAR alone in 2018)

84%

At least 3.0 (what he got from Pit WAR alone in 2021)

80%

At least 3.6 (what he got from Bat WAR alone in 2022)

76%

At least 3.8 (what he got in 2018)

76%

At least 4.5

76%

At least 5.0 (what he got from Bat WAR alone in 2021)

76%

At least 5.6 (what he got from Pit WAR alone in 2022)

66%

At least 6.5 (what he got from Bat WAR alone in 2023)

59%

At least 7.0

50%

At least 7.8 (what Freddie Freeman got in his highest WAR season, 2023)

40%

At least 8.0 (what he got in 2021)

40%

At least 8.5

40%

At least 8.9 (what he got in 2023)

41%

At least 9.1 (what he got in 2024)

36%

At least 9.2 (what he got in 2022)

34%

At least 9.5

For explanation of WAR (wins above replacement), see here: https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/war/

fWAR refers to WAR as calculated by the website Fangraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/

Resolution will be based on Fangraphs numbers.

WAR can be negative / go backwards so resolution will not occur when he initially crosses the mark.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

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