If ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
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Ṁ392029
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Resolves at the sum of the Democracy Index of the countries that occupy the territory that Ukraine occupied before the Russian invasion in 2022 (excluding Crimea), weighted by the population living in that territory, or N/A if there is no ceasefire in 2025.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
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