Luigi Mangione just got transferred to P Diddy's prison. How long till he gets Epstiened?
Background Sean "Diddy" Combs is currently in federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn, facing charges including sex trafficking and racketeering. His trial is scheduled to begin on May 5, 2025. The reference to "getting Epsteined" alludes to Jeffrey Epstein's death in prison under controversial circumstances in August 2019.
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the time period during which Sean "Diddy" Combs dies under suspicious circumstances while in custody, similar to Jeffrey Epstein's case. For resolution purposes:
Death must occur while in custody
Official reports must indicate suspicious or unclear circumstances
If Diddy is released from custody, dies of clearly natural causes, or remains alive through December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to "January 2026 or later or never"
If multiple investigations reach different conclusions about the circumstances of death, the market will resolve based on the official federal investigation findings
Considerations
This market deals with a hypothetical future event that has no current factual basis
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00