Will the United States kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
Basic
8
Ṁ1232Dec 31
1.5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the United States kill 1,000+ people before 2025 with nuclear strikes?
5% chance
Will Russia kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
5% chance
Will North Korea kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
5% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?
44% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
22% chance
Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
18% chance
Will Russia kill 1,000+ people before 2025 with nuclear strikes?
2% chance
Will North Korea kill 1,000+ people before 2025 with nuclear strikes?
2% chance
Will autonomous weapons be used to kill >1000 humans before 2030 in an offensive strike?
82% chance