Will any politician be elected on a Luddite platform to protect jobs from AI automation?
Will any politician be elected on a Luddite platform to protect jobs from AI automation?
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8
Ṁ992028
78%
chance
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A Luddite platform would involve some kind of practical or theoretical opposition to technological progress, not purely for safety reasons, but specifically to preserve jobs, or otherwise to preserve the way things are today. This could be in general, or in specific industries, or focused on government jobs in particular.
The platform could be their personal stated views, a personal manifesto (if the candidate is standing as an independent) or the manifesto of a party they are running as a member of.
To qualify for this market, the elected official has to be able to actually do something significant about their Luddite beliefs. A Luddite dog-catcher does not count.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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