Will we know the neutrino mass ordering in 2035?
Basic
3
Ṁ362036
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will one neutrino mass hierarchy be generally accepted to be correct by the end of 2035? At the very least, this means there must be a published result confirming the correct ordering at at least the five sigma level.
Only the masses of the first three eigenstates matter. If sterile neutrinos exist, they won't affect the resolution of this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
What is the neutrino mass ordering?
When will we measure the mass of neutrino?
Will neutrinoless double beta decay be observed before 2100?
47% chance
Military applications of neutrinos by 2050?
13% chance
Will sterile neutrinos be detected by 2030?
15% chance
Will charged lepton flavor violation via muon to electron conversion be observed by 2030?
30% chance
Will we know if gravity is fundamentally quantum by the end of 2030?
19% chance
What will KATRIN determine as the mass of the neutrino?
Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?
45% chance
Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?
24% chance