Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2040?
Basic
8
แน1402039
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's hard to defined "normalize" precisely, but would involve peace between the two countries, a lack of territorial claims against each other (or commitments to settle such claims peacefully and amicably), diplomatic and trade relations, and at least a neutral attitude of the populations towards each other.
For reference, I consider relations between Georgia and Russia not to have been normal since 2008. Relations between France and Germany after WWII normalized around the mid-1950ies.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
9% chance
Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2050?
38% chance
Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2030?
15% chance
What will be true of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?
Will there be a large prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine by end of 2024?
14% chance
Will there be a large prisoner exchange between Israel and Palestine by end of 2024?
14% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2025?
50% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
1% chance
Will Ukraine and Russia have a cease-fire or peace before 2026?
58% chance