Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030?
Basic
7
Ṁ1812029
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mount Vesuvius is in an extended period of inactivity, having not erupted since 1944. This market resolves YES if, before 01/01/2030, there is an eruption there of 1 or higher on the Volcanic Explosivity Index
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027?
55% chance
Will there be a volcanic eruption of Volcanic Explosivity Index 5 or greater before 2035?
47% chance
Will Yellowstone erupt before 2031?
21% chance
Will there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026?
22% chance
Will humans trigger a volcanic eruption by 2100?
40% chance
Will there be enough volcanic or seismic activity at Campi Flegrei in 2024 to lead to an evacuation?
9% chance
Will there be more than 30 New Volcano Eruptions in 2024?
82% chance
Will there be a volcanic eruption of Volcanic Explosivity Index 6 or greater before 2050?
34% chance
Will the Blue Lagoon be destroyed in a volcanic eruption before the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will the Phlegraean Fields super volcano erupt by the end of 2024?
5% chance