Before when will SLS be cancelled?
Before when will SLS be cancelled?
Plus
13
Ṁ19072029
90%
2029
86%
2028
75%
2027
66%
2026
If the announcement is made that no further flights will happen, then the date of the announcement counts.
If an announcement is made that it will be cancelled after the next flight, then the date of the next flight counts. If they then change their mind and don't fly it after all then it's the date of when they changed their mind, since that's a new announcement.
Multiple answer market, anything before the date resolved No, anything after resolves Yes.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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