Will Tesla be worth more than $1 trillion by end of 2025?
Will Tesla be worth more than $1 trillion by end of 2025?
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Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if Tesla's market capitalization is greater than or equal to $1 trillion USD at market close on December 31, 2025. It resolves to NO if Tesla's market capitalization is less than $1 trillion USD at that time.
Market capitalization will be determined by multiplying the closing share price on December 31, 2025, by the number of outstanding shares as reported by reliable financial data sources such as Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, or the NASDAQ official website.
If Tesla undergoes a significant corporate restructuring (such as a merger, acquisition, or spinoff) before the resolution date, the market will resolve based on the market capitalization of the entity that represents the majority of Tesla's current business.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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