Background Luigi Mangione is currently facing multiple charges, including first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism and second-degree murder, for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. On December 23, 2024, Mangione entered a not guilty plea in a New York court. The case is being pursued at both state and federal levels.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Luigi Mangione changes his plea to guilty for any of the charges related to the shooting of Brian Thompson, either in state or federal court, before the case goes to trial. This includes plea bargains where he pleads guilty to lesser charges. The market will resolve NO if:

• The case proceeds to trial without a guilty plea

• The charges are dropped

• Mangione maintains his not guilty plea throughout the proceedings

• Mangione is found mentally unfit to stand trial

If Mangione dies or becomes permanently incapacitated before entering a plea or going to trial, the market will resolve NO.

Considerations High-profile murder cases can sometimes take years to resolve. The presence of both state and federal charges may complicate the timeline and potential plea negotiations.