
Will an EMP be emitted on US airspace by the end of this year
Basic
5
Ṁ332Dec 31
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
EMP (Electromagnetic pulses) are used to disabile electric/electronic devices on a large scale. It can be used to block enemy forces or rogue robots...
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
13% chance
Will it be shown that the US has space-based weapons by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Conditional on a large-scale nuclear exchange involving the continental United States, will my house be hit with an EMP severe enough to damage any of our electronics?
35% chance
Will any US state shut down all of its international airports for any length of time by end 2025?
10% chance
Will there be a drone terror attack that kills at least 1 person in the United States before 2026?
18% chance
Will someone detonate a giant EMP across the US to slow AI progress by 2030
6% chance
Will an AI datacenter be hit with an EMP before 2031?
37% chance
Will $10 million be spent on hardening US infrastructure from EMP/CME before 2028?
51% chance
Will a nuclear detonation happen in space by the end of 2026?
4% chance
Will an Ares Industries missile be used by the United States against a foreign enemy ship in combat by the end of 2028?
53% chance