Will BTC hit $95,000 before the end of April 2025?
8
Ṁ401
Apr 30
15%
chance

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $95,000 USD on any major cryptocurrency exchange before 11:59 PM UTC on April 30, 2024. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.

Background

Bitcoin has been experiencing significant price movements in 2024. After reaching its previous all-time high of approximately $69,000 in November 2021, Bitcoin surpassed this milestone in March 2024. As of early April 2024, Bitcoin's price is around $87,460.

Key factors potentially influencing Bitcoin's price in April include:

  • Increased institutional adoption and investment

  • Recent approval and launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US

  • The Bitcoin halving event expected in April 2024

  • Macroeconomic conditions and Federal Reserve policies

  • Whale activity showing potential for continued bullish momentum

Considerations

For Bitcoin to reach $95,000, it would need to increase approximately 9% from its current price level. Technical analysts have identified $95,200 as a significant resistance level that Bitcoin would need to break through. The cryptocurrency's 50-day moving average is around $89,805, while the 200-day moving average is approximately $84,538, providing key support levels.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules