Will "2022 was the year AGI arrived (Just don't cal..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Plus
2
Ṁ26Feb 1
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post 2022 was the year AGI arrived (Just don't call it that) is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "A freshman year during the AI midgame: my app..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "My May 2023 priorities for AI x-safety: more ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
25% chance
Will "The basic reasons I expect AGI ruin" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "AGI Safety and Alignment at Google DeepMind:
..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Nobody’s on the ball on AGI alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Clarifying and predicting AGI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "AGI in sight: our look at the game board" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance