Will a ceasefire be signed in Sudan between the RSF and SAF by the end of the year?
Basic
3
Ṁ44
Jan 1
34%
chance

If a formal agreement is signed and reported in the news by December 31, 2024. The agreement must only be a ceasefire, but would also include a peace agreement. The question resolves yes if there is a document signed by official representatives of each organization (RSF and SAF) and the news headline describes it as “ceasefire” or “peace” agreement/treaty.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules