Will El Salvador's murder rate be below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2030?
Basic
5
Ṁ812030
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The prediction market will resolve as "Yes" if, by December 31, 2030, El Salvador's annual murder rate is below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants, based on reliable international sources such as the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), the World Bank, or other internationally recognized organizations that compile and report on global homicide statistics.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
El Salvador will be doing really well at the start of 2026
41% chance
What will the homicide rate be in Mexico for 2024?
Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?
40% chance
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2030?
56% chance
Will I be murdered before 2030?
4% chance
Will another country follow El Salvador in adopting Bitcoin as legal tender by the end of 2025?
68% chance
Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador at the end of 2025?
93% chance
Will the US knowingly deport at least one citizen to El Salvador for imprisonment by EOY2025?
31% chance
Will any Alien Enemies Act victims be returned from El Salvador to US before 2035?
73% chance
Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?
38% chance