Will the Against Malaria Foundation reach $1 billion raised by the end of 2026?
Will the Against Malaria Foundation reach $1 billion raised by the end of 2026?
Basic
10
Ṁ5882027
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 NO
Doesn't really seem like they're on pace based on FY2023 reporting and FY2024 reporting so far: https://www.againstmalaria.com/DonationStatistics.aspx
Would be extremely happy to be wrong here!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?
55% chance
Will any individual reach a total of $1 billion donated to EA aligned charities by the end of 2026?
90% chance
Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?
15% chance
Will the LEV Foundation spend at least 1 million USD in 2025?
63% chance
Will a malaria vaccine be deployed to >1M humans in 2023-2024?
94% chance
Will the "Mriya" fund raise 2 million mana by the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will the Patient Philanthropy Fund grow to $10m+ before 2030?
55% chance
Will the LEV Foundation spend at least 30 million USD in 2025?
27% chance
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
18% chance
Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?