In 2033, will Richard Hanania believe that the predictions they made about deepfakes came true?
Plus
12
Ṁ1412034
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/deepfakes-will-make-the-establishment
Some time in 2033, I'll ask Richard whether they think this worked out about the way they expected it to. I may resolve to a percentage in between if Richard gives such an answer.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
5% chance
In January 2026, how publicly salient will AI deepfakes/media be, vs AI labor impact, vs AI catastrophic risks?
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
67% chance
Will there be a celebrity scandal based on a video that was later shown to be an AI Deepfake in 2024?
17% chance
In 2024 will a celebrity loudly claim a scandalous video is a deepfake, even though it is not?
39% chance
Will Donald Trump publicly use the word 'deepfake' before 2025?
78% chance
Will an AI become TIME's Person of The Year by 2030?
65% chance
Will a deepfake video cause a major political controversy involving a head of state by 2026?
61% chance
Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2032?
40% chance
Images assumed to be deepfakes/AI-generated unless proven otherwise before 2030
51% chance